Friday, May 08, 2026

Poll Shows Marsha Blackburn with Wide Lead in Governor's Race

The Beacon Center, May 8, 2026- Today, we released the latest installment of the Beacon Poll, a statewide survey of 1,200 Tennessee voters featuring questions about voters’ views on energy sources and production in Tennessee, the condition of roads and what revenue sources could be used to improve them, and political approval ratings at the state and federal level.

As the gubernatorial primaries draw near, Marsha Blackburn continues to expand her already commanding lead in the Republican primary. Blackburn now garners 63% of the vote, up from 56% in January, giving her a 53-point lead over Congressman John Rose (10%) and a 58-point lead over state Rep. Monty Fritts (5%).

On the Democratic side, the most popular candidate by far is “Not Sure” at 62%, leaving the field wide open. Jerri Green has a slight edge over the rest of the field at 14%, followed closely by Kevin Lee McCants (11%) and Carnita Atwater (8%). While Green currently has only a 3-point lead, she is nearly a 90% favorite to win the primary, according to Polymarket.

In this year’s first hypothetical general election matchup for governor, with the candidates chosen based on current Polymarket odds, Senator Blackburn opens with a massive 24-point lead on Democratic frontrunner Jerri Green.

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