The polling data coming from Iowa has been all over the place. The most recent CNN polling shows that Romney is on top just days before the caucus. Santorum has a promising rise, Paul is holding firm in second place but has dropped from the number one spot he had for a short while and Newt has dropped like a rock. This comparison of where they are now compared to where they were three weeks earlier is revealing.
Dec. 21-27 Nov. 29–Dec. 6Despite Ron Paul's favorable showing in Iowa, I think there is almost no chance he will be the Republican nominee. He is too far outside the political mainstream. Should he be the nominee, I think President Obama will be reelected in a landslide. Also, despite Romney's top spot in Iowa today and his consistent holding on to about 20% of the Republican support nationwide, I do not think he will be the nominee. He is simply too moderate for most Republicans and has flip-flopped too often. I have been a Newt supporter but quite frankly am not encouraged that he can win the nomination. If he is the nominee, I think he could provide a strong challenge to Obama simply because he is so much more intelligent and informed than Obama and can better articulate his positions and has a good game plan for winning. In a debate, Newt will run circles around Obama and Newt can force Obama to debate. However Newt has a lot of baggage and with Obama's vast campaign war chest we would see a very dirty campaign focusing on Newts negatives.
2011 2011
Romney 25% 20%
Paul 22% 17%
Santorum 16% 5%
Gingrich 14% 33%
Perry 11% 9%
Bachmann 9% 7%
Huntsman 1% 1%
Someone else (vol.) * *
None/ No one (vol.) * 2%
No opinion 2% 5%
I think we have a great chance to make Obama a one-term President but we must have the right candidate to do it. I don't know who that candidate is.
The Iowa caucus is January 3rd. Please cast your vote today in my poll. I would like to know who you support. This poll is only open 4 more days.
Please cast your vote in the poll to the left and then leave a comment telling me who you are supporting and why.
Thanks for participating, Rod


